Big Picture: Bias is Bearish, Market Has Broken The Upward Channel Support From October 2023 Low, $VIX Below 20 (complacency)
Today´s Pivot is 5698
In the Sunday Post analysis, it was observed that US stock indexes and multiple sectors showed signs of consolidation, suggesting a potential stabilization after several weeks of declines. Historically, seasonality trends indicate that markets tend to form a bottom around mid-March, but it's still too early to confirm whether this pattern will hold. Notably, a week ago saw a significant surge in equity inflows, as investors took advantage of lower prices to "buy the dip." The chart below highlights this trend, showing the third-largest weekly inflow into equities on record. While a market rebound is likely, the key question remains whether the rally is sustainable or merely a temporary relief bounce before another leg lower.
h/t:
Market Analysis
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